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2021-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Washington Wizards Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 70.2% 29.8% -
Margin 79.6% 20.4% -7.5 (28.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% -
Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.4% 26.6% -
Log Adjusted 73.5% 26.5% -
Points Off/Def 62.4% 37.6% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +21 (128-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Paul * 36 5-10 0-1 4-4 5 11 1 0 14 - -
Devin Booker * 32 11-21 1-3 10-10 3 0 1 1 33 - -
Jae Crowder * 30 1-5 0-3 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 - -
Mikal Bridges * 24 6-9 1-4 1-1 5 2 0 0 14 - -
Deandre Ayton * 24 4-10 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 8 - -
Dario Saric 20 4-8 1-4 4-4 6 1 0 1 13 - -
Cameron Johnson 18 2-7 1-6 0-2 4 2 0 0 5 - -
Jevon Carter 17 3-8 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 2 6 - -
Langston Galloway 13 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Damian Jones 11 2-3 0-1 2-5 3 0 0 1 6 - -
Ty-Shon Alexander 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Abdel Nader 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 - -
E'Twaun Moore 3 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 35 12-22 2-7 8-9 8 9 2 1 34 - -
Rui Hachimura * 28 4-9 0-1 2-3 9 3 0 1 10 - -
Robin Lopez * 25 5-6 0-0 1-5 11 2 0 0 11 - -
Raul Neto * 24 7-13 2-6 0-1 2 2 0 0 16 - -
Deni Avdija * 19 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Davis Bertans 24 6-10 6-9 0-0 2 2 0 0 18 - -
Moritz Wagner 22 3-5 1-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 9 - -
Ish Smith 21 3-8 0-1 0-4 3 6 1 0 6 - -
Garrison Mathews 20 3-9 3-6 2-2 3 2 0 1 11 - -
Isaac Bonga 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Anthony Gill 3 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Cassius Winston 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter