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2021-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 61.7% 38.3% - ✓
Margin 69.7% 30.3% -4.6 ✓ (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 66.1% 33.9% - ✓
Efficiency 86.7% 13.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 84.3% 15.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 84.4% 15.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 73.4% 26.6% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic -22 (99-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 29 9-17 2-6 0-1 10 3 1 0 20 - -
Jrue Holiday * 29 3-10 0-4 5-5 3 3 2 1 11 - -
Brook Lopez * 28 2-6 1-4 1-1 3 3 3 1 6 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 27 8-16 2-4 4-7 6 4 1 2 22 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 26 4-7 1-3 0-0 4 3 2 0 9 - -
Bobby Portis 24 9-13 2-3 0-0 5 0 0 1 20 - -
D.J. Augustin 20 2-6 1-3 3-3 0 4 2 0 8 - -
Pat Connaughton 18 3-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 2 2 7 - -
Bryn Forbes 16 4-7 3-4 3-3 2 1 2 0 14 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 - -
D.J. Wilson 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Sam Merrill 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 35 8-14 3-4 2-3 5 8 1 2 21 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 31 11-25 4-10 2-2 13 5 0 0 28 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 28 5-10 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 11 - -
Cole Anthony * 23 4-13 1-4 3-3 3 1 1 0 12 - -
James Ennis III * 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 - -
Jordan Bone 28 3-6 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Terrence Ross 25 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 3 2 0 4 - -
Khem Birch 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Gary Clark 18 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Mo Bamba 11 3-7 0-2 2-3 4 1 0 1 8 - -
Karim Mane 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter