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2021-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% -
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% -
Margin 26.9% 73.1% +5.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% -
Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Log Adjusted 42.1% 57.9% -
Points Off/Def 39.6% 60.4% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +1 (106-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 40 9-19 2-4 5-9 11 3 0 0 25 - -
Fred VanVleet * 39 9-20 3-10 0-0 5 5 0 1 21 - -
OG Anunoby * 37 4-12 2-6 0-0 6 1 2 1 10 - -
Kyle Lowry * 33 5-14 3-8 4-7 9 6 1 0 17 - -
Norman Powell * 22 3-8 1-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 9 - -
Chris Boucher 23 6-10 2-3 1-1 6 0 1 6 15 - -
Malachi Flynn 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -
Terence Davis 12 1-6 0-2 1-1 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Stanley Johnson 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 2 0 3 - -
Yuta Watanabe 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 2 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 38 2-16 1-10 6-6 9 6 0 0 11 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 34 7-17 3-10 0-0 2 4 0 4 17 - -
Draymond Green * 29 3-8 2-5 2-3 9 10 0 1 10 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 29 5-14 1-6 1-1 6 3 0 1 12 - -
James Wiseman * 16 5-7 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 10 - -
Kent Bazemore 20 4-7 1-2 0-0 5 3 0 3 9 - -
Eric Paschall 18 5-10 1-2 4-5 2 1 0 0 15 - -
Damion Lee 15 4-7 3-6 2-2 2 1 1 0 13 - -
Kevon Looney 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Brad Wanamaker 12 2-5 1-3 2-2 3 2 1 0 7 - -
Mychal Mulder 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter