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2021-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% -
Bradley-Terry 53.2% 46.8% -
Margin 48.5% 51.5% +0.3 (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 60.1% 39.9% -
Efficiency 77.8% 22.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.8% 24.2% -
Log Adjusted 75.8% 24.2% -
Points Off/Def 64.8% 35.2% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -18 (102-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 34 3-10 1-3 1-2 5 7 2 2 8 - -
LeBron James * 30 7-15 1-6 3-6 7 7 1 1 18 - -
Anthony Davis * 29 9-12 0-1 9-10 4 1 0 3 27 - -
Marc Gasol * 24 2-6 1-2 1-1 7 2 0 0 6 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 22 3-9 1-4 0-0 4 3 2 0 7 - -
Kyle Kuzma 23 5-12 3-8 0-0 2 1 0 1 13 - -
Montrezl Harrell 23 7-11 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 1 16 - -
Alex Caruso 21 1-5 0-1 1-2 4 4 3 0 3 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 20 7-8 2-3 1-1 5 3 4 0 17 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Quinn Cook 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Markieff Morris 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 37 7-14 2-8 4-5 6 9 0 2 20 - -
John Wall * 34 5-14 2-4 2-2 10 5 1 2 14 - -
Christian Wood * 31 10-20 1-5 2-3 3 1 0 1 23 - -
P.J. Tucker * 29 1-4 1-4 1-1 1 0 2 1 4 - -
David Nwaba * 17 2-6 1-3 1-2 1 1 1 1 6 - -
Eric Gordon 21 1-4 0-2 2-4 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 20 3-4 0-0 3-4 6 1 2 1 9 - -
Ben McLemore 16 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Sterling Brown 13 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 8 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 6 - -
Bruno Caboclo 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 3 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Mason Jones 3 1-2 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter