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2021-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 66.0% 34.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 49.0% 51.0% - ✗
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 ✗ (25.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% - ✗
Efficiency 55.3% 44.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 56.3% 43.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 56.3% 43.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.6% 50.4% - ✗

Actual: New York Knicks -25 (89-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Harris * 31 6-10 2-4 0-0 3 1 2 1 14 - -
Nikola Jokic * 30 9-15 1-3 3-3 10 5 1 1 22 - -
Jamal Murray * 29 4-9 1-4 0-0 0 3 0 0 9 - -
Paul Millsap * 21 3-9 2-6 2-3 5 0 2 0 10 - -
Will Barton * 21 2-7 0-2 1-2 2 4 0 0 5 - -
JaMychal Green 22 4-5 2-2 0-0 8 1 1 0 10 - -
Monte Morris 22 5-10 2-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 12 - -
PJ Dozier 17 4-6 3-4 1-2 5 2 1 1 12 - -
Facundo Campazzo 14 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 5 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 11 3-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 8 - -
Bol Bol 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 - -
R.J. Hampton 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Zeke Nnaji 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Markus Howard 2 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Vlatko Cancar 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 38 11-16 2-5 5-6 10 5 0 0 29 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 34 5-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 1 11 - -
RJ Barrett * 33 4-13 0-3 1-3 9 4 0 0 9 - -
Elfrid Payton * 32 4-10 0-1 4-5 3 5 1 0 12 - -
Reggie Bullock * 24 3-8 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Austin Rivers 22 2-6 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Kevin Knox II 17 2-6 1-3 1-1 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Immanuel Quickley 13 0-4 0-2 4-4 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Nerlens Noel 11 0-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 6 1-3 0-1 2-2 0 1 2 0 4 - -
Theo Pinson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter