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2021-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% -
Margin 20.6% 79.4% +7.4 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 30.8% 69.2% -
Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.3% 85.7% -
Log Adjusted 14.3% 85.7% -
Points Off/Def 21.6% 78.4% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +14 (112-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 35 6-16 1-7 3-6 4 5 1 1 16 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 33 14-24 2-7 0-0 15 2 2 0 30 - -
Cole Anthony * 32 2-8 1-5 3-4 2 3 0 0 8 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 27 4-13 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 9 - -
James Ennis III * 20 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 3 0 4 - -
Terrence Ross 32 3-12 0-4 5-5 4 3 0 1 11 - -
Khem Birch 23 4-4 0-0 4-5 8 0 3 0 12 - -
Gary Clark 21 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 6 - -
Jordan Bone 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 40 12-20 8-13 4-6 5 2 0 0 36 - -
Luka Doncic * 34 7-20 3-9 3-3 11 10 1 2 20 - -
Maxi Kleber * 23 1-5 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 2 5 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 23 2-5 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 6 - -
Josh Green * 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Wes Iwundu 32 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 1 2 0 0 - -
James Johnson 26 4-6 1-3 3-5 5 3 2 1 12 - -
Trey Burke 21 11-13 7-8 0-0 0 4 0 1 29 - -
Dwight Powell 20 2-6 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 2 4 - -
Boban Marjanovic 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter