Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -3 (122-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 43 | 13-23 | 0-2 | 12-13 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 41 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 40 | 7-18 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 30 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 16 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Beasley * | 40 | 11-20 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 37 | 9-17 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 37 | 7-22 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez * | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards | 30 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 16 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jake Layman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter