Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | -0.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -12 (103-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 28 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 28 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 24 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 22 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 21 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Joe * | 44 | 4-18 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Maxey * | 43 | 18-33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 39 | - | - | |
| Dakota Mathias * | 41 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 36 | 4-17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard * | 23 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 26 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 24 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - |
* = starter