Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✓ (20.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -21 (123-144). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 33 | 13-22 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 26 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Alex Len * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 29 | 9-12 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 22 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 19 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 16 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Harris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 32 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 7-10 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 29 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 24 | 9-11 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 29 | 5-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 22 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Justin James | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jahmi'us Ramsey | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Robert Woodard II | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter