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2021-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 52.5% 47.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% - ✓
Margin 41.0% 59.0% +2.0 ✓ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% - ✓
Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 33.2% 66.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +2 (117-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 38 14-22 4-7 6-6 5 6 2 0 38 - -
Patrick Williams * 34 3-10 0-2 0-0 8 0 4 0 6 - -
Coby White * 31 6-14 2-5 0-0 3 5 0 0 14 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 25 9-15 0-1 5-6 7 3 0 0 23 - -
Otto Porter Jr. * 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Thaddeus Young 29 7-12 0-1 1-1 7 5 1 0 15 - -
Garrett Temple 27 3-5 2-3 1-1 3 1 1 1 9 - -
Denzel Valentine 24 2-8 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Daniel Gafford 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 2 0 - -
Adam Mokoka 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 34 5-11 1-1 6-8 3 6 2 0 17 - -
LeBron James * 34 11-21 0-5 6-8 7 7 0 0 28 - -
Wesley Matthews * 33 4-8 4-8 2-2 2 1 0 1 14 - -
Markieff Morris * 29 5-8 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 1 11 - -
Marc Gasol * 18 1-3 0-2 4-4 4 0 0 4 6 - -
Montrezl Harrell 29 7-13 0-0 3-3 14 0 0 1 17 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 19 3-5 1-1 2-2 2 3 0 1 9 - -
Kyle Kuzma 16 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Alex Caruso 16 3-7 3-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 9 - -
Jared Dudley 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter