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2021-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 41.1% 58.9% -
Bradley-Terry 41.0% 59.0% -
Margin 33.4% 66.6% +3.8 (38.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% -
Log Adjusted 39.1% 60.9% -
Points Off/Def 38.5% 61.5% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +42 (132-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Clark * 30 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 29 8-19 3-7 3-3 12 3 1 0 22 - -
Cole Anthony * 28 6-14 0-3 3-4 2 3 2 0 15 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 27 4-10 0-1 2-3 1 1 0 0 10 - -
James Ennis III * 19 2-7 0-0 2-2 3 2 1 0 6 - -
Jordan Bone 27 3-8 1-5 0-0 2 4 0 0 7 - -
Khem Birch 22 4-7 1-1 2-2 5 2 0 0 11 - -
Karim Mane 21 0-3 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 1 2 - -
Terrence Ross 18 2-9 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Mo Bamba 13 5-9 2-4 0-0 7 0 0 0 12 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 30 6-13 3-9 0-0 5 13 0 1 15 - -
P.J. Tucker * 28 5-7 5-7 0-0 4 5 0 2 15 - -
John Wall * 28 5-11 3-4 1-2 3 4 0 0 14 - -
Christian Wood * 26 9-17 1-5 3-4 15 0 1 2 22 - -
David Nwaba * 22 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 6 - -
Eric Gordon 18 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 5 - -
Sterling Brown 18 3-4 3-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 9 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 16 1-7 0-4 4-5 5 4 1 0 6 - -
Ben McLemore 15 5-6 5-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 15 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 15 5-5 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 10 - -
Mason Jones 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 5 3-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 7 - -
Bruno Caboclo 4 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 6 - -

* = starter