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2021-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 44.6% 55.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 38.3% 61.7% +2.6 (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -
Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% -
Log Adjusted 36.9% 63.1% -
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -8 (110-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 37 9-18 4-7 4-4 7 3 2 0 26 - -
Devonte' Graham * 36 5-13 2-8 5-5 6 8 0 0 17 - -
Terry Rozier * 34 5-15 4-10 1-2 4 5 3 1 15 - -
P.J. Washington * 27 3-8 1-4 2-4 4 5 2 2 9 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 26 4-5 0-0 3-4 6 0 0 1 11 - -
Miles Bridges 30 8-11 4-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 20 - -
LaMelo Ball 25 4-11 1-5 3-4 10 9 1 0 12 - -
Caleb Martin 11 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Cody Martin 8 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 4 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 36 3-11 3-10 8-9 8 8 1 1 17 - -
Lonzo Ball * 36 2-8 1-7 0-0 2 3 1 1 5 - -
Steven Adams * 34 5-7 0-0 3-6 7 2 1 2 13 - -
Zion Williamson * 33 12-22 0-0 2-4 8 3 0 0 26 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 33 3-8 2-6 0-0 1 6 2 0 8 - -
Josh Hart 26 6-8 4-5 3-4 8 2 1 0 19 - -
JJ Redick 19 5-8 4-7 3-3 1 1 0 0 17 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 14 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Jaxson Hayes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Nicolo Melli 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter