🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-01-08

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% -
Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Log Adjusted 33.1% 66.9% -
Points Off/Def 32.9% 67.1% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -9 (109-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 36 5-13 2-6 7-8 4 8 2 1 19 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 31 11-18 3-7 3-3 5 3 0 0 28 - -
Dejounte Murray * 31 7-14 2-4 2-2 8 2 0 0 18 - -
Keldon Johnson * 30 2-10 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 5 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 26 6-11 2-4 0-0 6 2 0 1 14 - -
Patty Mills 25 3-8 1-3 3-3 2 7 0 0 10 - -
Rudy Gay 24 6-10 3-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 15 - -
Jakob Poeltl 15 1-3 0-0 1-1 6 2 0 0 3 - -
Devin Vassell 14 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 2 1 1 6 - -
Luka Samanic 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tre Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Trey Lyles 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 34 8-15 4-7 7-11 6 12 0 0 27 - -
Anthony Davis * 34 11-17 1-3 0-2 10 3 1 3 23 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 30 6-16 1-6 0-0 10 0 0 0 13 - -
Dennis Schroder * 27 3-11 0-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 6 - -
Marc Gasol * 13 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 4 - -
Wesley Matthews 21 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 20 4-9 0-3 2-3 4 3 0 0 10 - -
Alex Caruso 20 3-3 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Montrezl Harrell 18 5-7 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 10 - -
Markieff Morris 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Quinn Cook 2 1-1 1-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Jared Dudley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter