Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -7 (117-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 43 | 13-22 | 2-7 | 10-15 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 38 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 41 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 36 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 36 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 24 | 3-11 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 46 | 8-19 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 41 | 14-31 | 4-10 | 6-10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 39 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 34 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 24 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 18 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter