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2021-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 57.2% 42.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 48.2% 51.8% - ✓
Margin 50.5% 49.5% -0.1 ✗ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - ✗
Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 53.4% 46.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 53.4% 46.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% - ✓

Actual: Sacramento Kings +4 (128-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 39 15-23 4-9 2-2 3 7 0 0 36 - -
Zach LaVine * 36 13-24 3-11 3-5 7 3 0 1 32 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 29 4-9 0-0 3-4 17 4 0 0 11 - -
Otto Porter Jr. * 26 1-8 1-5 0-0 6 3 0 0 3 - -
Patrick Williams * 22 3-6 1-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 9 - -
Garrett Temple 32 3-6 3-5 2-2 2 4 0 0 11 - -
Denzel Valentine 21 4-10 2-7 0-0 4 5 2 0 10 - -
Thaddeus Young 20 4-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Daniel Gafford 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 4 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 37 7-10 3-4 3-5 0 5 1 0 20 - -
Buddy Hield * 35 3-15 2-9 2-2 3 3 1 0 10 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 29 8-14 3-5 2-2 12 0 2 2 21 - -
Richaun Holmes * 29 10-11 0-1 4-6 8 5 1 0 24 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 5 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Tyrese Haliburton 34 7-15 3-7 0-0 7 6 3 1 17 - -
Cory Joseph 25 3-10 0-3 1-2 2 3 0 0 7 - -
Glenn Robinson III 24 5-7 2-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 14 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 19 3-7 1-4 5-6 4 5 0 0 12 - -

* = starter