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2021-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 28.9% 71.1% - ✓
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 ✓ (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% - ✓
Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 18.7% 81.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 18.6% 81.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 24.4% 75.6% - ✓

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +15 (130-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 35 9-20 2-6 11-11 10 1 0 0 31 - -
Blake Griffin * 26 2-9 0-6 5-6 1 5 1 0 9 - -
Delon Wright * 25 1-8 1-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 - -
Wayne Ellington * 23 5-9 2-6 0-0 3 0 1 1 12 - -
Mason Plumlee * 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 4 - -
Saddiq Bey 24 6-14 6-10 2-2 10 3 1 0 20 - -
Isaiah Stewart 20 2-6 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 5 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 13 3-8 2-6 0-0 2 4 0 0 8 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -
Derrick Rose 11 3-7 0-1 4-4 1 1 0 0 10 - -
Jahlil Okafor 11 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Saben Lee 11 1-5 0-1 2-4 1 1 2 0 4 - -
Rodney McGruder 7 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Deividas Sirvydis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 31 9-15 5-6 0-0 5 7 0 0 23 - -
Jrue Holiday * 30 4-11 0-3 2-2 5 6 0 0 10 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 28 8-15 1-5 8-14 8 4 0 1 25 - -
Brook Lopez * 27 6-9 4-7 1-1 4 5 0 2 17 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 22 2-8 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Bobby Portis 27 7-11 2-5 0-0 10 4 2 0 16 - -
D.J. Augustin 22 2-4 2-4 2-2 4 6 1 0 8 - -
Bryn Forbes 22 3-7 2-6 0-2 1 1 1 0 8 - -
Jordan Nwora 14 4-5 3-3 0-0 4 0 1 1 11 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 12 4-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Jaylen Adams 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter