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2021-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% -
Bradley-Terry 29.6% 70.4% -
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.0% 58.0% -
Efficiency 34.2% 65.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% -
Log Adjusted 31.8% 68.2% -
Points Off/Def 33.4% 66.6% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -8 (94-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 39 15-25 4-9 10-12 7 2 1 1 44 - -
Devonte' Graham * 39 2-14 2-9 5-6 4 7 4 0 11 - -
P.J. Washington * 37 3-8 1-2 2-2 10 4 2 3 9 - -
Terry Rozier * 28 4-10 2-5 4-5 3 1 2 1 14 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 24 1-5 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 2 2 - -
LaMelo Ball 23 6-12 2-5 2-2 8 5 0 0 16 - -
Miles Bridges 22 0-5 0-3 2-2 6 2 2 1 2 - -
Caleb Martin 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Cody Martin 11 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 35 2-9 0-3 3-3 5 3 1 0 7 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 33 6-15 1-7 4-4 6 5 1 0 17 - -
John Collins * 31 9-16 0-0 5-7 11 1 1 0 23 - -
Cam Reddish * 27 3-15 0-8 2-2 4 2 1 0 8 - -
Clint Capela * 26 3-8 0-0 1-2 19 1 0 1 7 - -
Kevin Huerter 32 7-15 5-12 0-0 5 6 0 0 19 - -
Brandon Goodwin 20 4-10 1-5 0-0 3 2 2 0 9 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 18 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 - -
Solomon Hill 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Nathan Knight 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter