Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | +2.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +7 (114-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 38 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba * | 37 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| John Wall * | 37 | 12-20 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 32 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 33 | 7-15 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 39 | 13-25 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 38 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo * | 35 | 6-20 | 1-7 | 5-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 31 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter