Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.3% | 64.7% | +3.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +7 (123-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Beasley * | 37 | 5-16 | 0-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 37 | 10-21 | 4-9 | 9-10 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez * | 34 | 10-14 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ed Davis * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards | 25 | 6-19 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jake Layman | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 12-20 | 1-1 | 10-12 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 35 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 15 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 24 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 20 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter