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2021-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 47.3% 52.7% -
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% -
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% -
Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Log Adjusted 51.6% 48.4% -
Points Off/Def 46.8% 53.2% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -2 (92-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 36 5-15 1-4 1-1 2 6 0 0 12 - -
Anthony Davis * 34 10-20 4-10 2-3 10 4 3 3 26 - -
LeBron James * 34 11-20 1-4 3-3 11 7 1 1 26 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 30 2-5 0-2 1-2 7 0 0 0 5 - -
Marc Gasol * 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 2 3 - -
Wesley Matthews 29 1-4 1-4 1-1 3 1 0 1 4 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 22 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 1 4 - -
Montrezl Harrell 20 4-9 0-1 1-1 7 1 1 0 9 - -
Markieff Morris 14 2-6 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 5 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyus Jones * 32 3-8 1-4 1-2 0 8 2 1 8 - -
Dillon Brooks * 29 5-13 3-5 0-1 5 2 2 0 13 - -
Brandon Clarke * 28 5-11 1-2 1-2 3 1 3 1 12 - -
Kyle Anderson * 28 4-10 1-3 1-1 5 2 1 0 10 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 25 4-13 0-1 5-5 11 2 1 1 13 - -
Desmond Bane 24 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Gorgui Dieng 21 6-8 1-1 0-0 4 1 2 0 13 - -
Xavier Tillman 17 3-8 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 8 - -
De'Anthony Melton 15 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 5 1 1 5 - -
Grayson Allen 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 - -

* = starter