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2021-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 18.3% 81.7% -
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% -
Margin 19.3% 80.7% +7.9 (23.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 30.8% 69.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% -
Log Adjusted 33.7% 66.3% -
Points Off/Def 33.7% 66.3% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +31 (137-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 30 7-17 2-4 2-4 4 7 3 1 18 - -
Buddy Hield * 29 3-12 3-11 1-2 6 1 0 1 10 - -
Harrison Barnes * 29 5-12 1-5 7-8 9 1 1 0 18 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 24 2-9 0-2 1-3 9 0 0 0 5 - -
Richaun Holmes * 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Cory Joseph 22 2-3 1-1 3-4 5 4 0 1 8 - -
Glenn Robinson III 18 1-4 1-3 5-6 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Kyle Guy 16 2-6 0-2 3-4 3 5 0 0 7 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 15 0-4 0-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Hassan Whiteside 11 2-5 0-0 4-5 2 0 0 3 8 - -
Justin James 7 2-3 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Jahmi'us Ramsey 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Robert Woodard II 4 2-6 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 4 - -
Chimezie Metu 4 3-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 7 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 30 9-18 5-12 7-7 9 8 0 0 30 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 28 7-15 2-4 0-0 3 5 1 1 16 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 25 6-13 4-6 2-2 3 2 1 2 18 - -
Draymond Green * 21 1-3 1-2 2-2 5 5 2 0 5 - -
James Wiseman * 17 5-9 0-1 0-1 4 1 0 2 10 - -
Eric Paschall 21 6-10 2-3 0-0 7 4 0 0 14 - -
Damion Lee 19 1-3 1-3 0-0 6 3 0 0 3 - -
Brad Wanamaker 17 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 5 - -
Kent Bazemore 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 1 5 - -
Mychal Mulder 14 4-4 4-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 12 - -
Kevon Looney 12 5-6 0-0 1-2 3 2 0 0 11 - -
Nico Mannion 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Poole 7 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -

* = starter