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2021-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 38.9% 61.1% -
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% -
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% -
Efficiency 45.3% 54.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% -
Log Adjusted 43.3% 56.7% -
Points Off/Def 41.2% 58.8% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -2 (116-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malcolm Brogdon * 45 8-18 4-9 1-2 7 11 3 1 21 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 35 9-16 1-3 0-0 11 7 0 2 19 - -
Victor Oladipo * 35 8-17 5-11 4-6 5 6 2 0 25 - -
Myles Turner * 22 7-11 2-3 1-2 2 0 1 3 17 - -
Aaron Holiday * 19 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Justin Holiday 44 3-9 3-6 0-0 7 5 1 1 9 - -
Doug McDermott 28 4-9 3-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 11 - -
T.J. McConnell 23 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 2 3 0 6 - -
JaKarr Sampson 8 2-3 0-1 3-3 1 0 0 1 7 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 39 12-31 1-6 6-6 4 8 1 2 31 - -
Lonzo Ball * 38 7-11 4-6 0-0 6 6 0 0 18 - -
Zion Williamson * 35 9-19 0-0 6-8 10 2 1 1 24 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 34 4-9 1-3 3-4 11 5 0 0 12 - -
Steven Adams * 31 4-7 0-0 2-4 8 0 3 0 10 - -
JJ Redick 32 1-9 1-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Josh Hart 28 1-5 0-2 1-1 10 3 0 0 3 - -
Jaxson Hayes 13 4-5 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 1 9 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 10 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -

* = starter