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2021-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 28.9% 71.1% -
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% -
Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.7% 81.3% -
Log Adjusted 18.6% 81.4% -
Points Off/Def 24.4% 75.6% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +10 (125-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 34 10-25 4-10 0-0 4 3 1 3 24 - -
Saddiq Bey * 30 3-8 1-6 2-2 3 0 0 0 9 - -
Wayne Ellington * 24 5-7 3-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 13 - -
Mason Plumlee * 19 2-7 0-1 0-0 8 6 1 0 4 - -
Killian Hayes * 13 3-7 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 7 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 29 3-6 3-5 4-4 3 3 1 1 13 - -
Derrick Rose 24 9-18 2-4 4-4 2 8 1 0 24 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 23 4-13 3-6 2-2 2 1 2 0 13 - -
Isaiah Stewart 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 4 - -
Delon Wright 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 - -
Rodney McGruder 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jahlil Okafor 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 36 17-24 2-6 7-9 9 4 0 1 43 - -
Khris Middleton * 35 7-10 2-4 3-4 9 4 0 0 19 - -
Jrue Holiday * 34 6-10 2-3 1-1 6 7 3 0 15 - -
Brook Lopez * 30 3-7 2-6 0-0 7 1 1 2 8 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 29 2-9 1-6 0-0 5 9 2 1 5 - -
Bobby Portis 22 5-8 0-1 0-0 8 1 0 0 10 - -
Bryn Forbes 19 4-10 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 10 - -
D.J. Augustin 18 4-5 3-3 0-0 1 6 0 0 11 - -
Jordan Nwora 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter