Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.1% | 41.9% | -1.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -13 (100-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 12-25 | 3-10 | 6-6 | 16 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 31 | 11-14 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 8 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Wes Iwundu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 38 | 5-17 | 3-11 | 8-10 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 35 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| John Wall * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 32 | 8-15 | 0-5 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 25 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 24 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bruno Caboclo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brodric Thomas | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter