Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.8% | 32.2% | -4.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -12 (114-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 33 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 31 | 11-19 | 5-8 | 13-13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 40 | - | - | |
| Tremont Waters * | 24 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 32 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Semi Ojeleye | 29 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 23 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred VanVleet * | 33 | 13-20 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aron Baynes * | 13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 17 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 15 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter