🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 41.9% 58.1% -
Bradley-Terry 30.2% 69.8% -
Margin 17.7% 82.3% +8.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -
Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Log Adjusted 47.8% 52.2% -
Points Off/Def 43.7% 56.3% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +15 (137-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 39 10-24 6-15 6-7 4 4 0 0 32 - -
CJ McCollum * 37 10-23 2-8 6-8 9 5 2 0 28 - -
Robert Covington * 27 2-4 2-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 6 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 23 3-10 0-1 1-2 6 3 2 2 7 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 16 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 31 3-11 1-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Carmelo Anthony 27 2-8 2-7 4-4 3 0 0 0 10 - -
Enes Kanter 24 8-12 0-0 8-10 12 1 1 0 24 - -
Anfernee Simons 12 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 36 18-31 8-16 18-19 5 4 0 0 62 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 35 8-16 1-5 4-7 7 2 0 2 21 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 32 7-13 1-5 2-2 5 0 2 1 17 - -
Draymond Green * 27 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 8 1 1 1 - -
James Wiseman * 21 6-9 0-1 0-2 11 1 0 2 12 - -
Kent Bazemore 20 2-5 1-2 1-2 8 2 0 0 6 - -
Kevon Looney 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 - -
Damion Lee 17 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Eric Paschall 16 5-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 10 - -
Brad Wanamaker 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Mychal Mulder 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter