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2021-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 52.3% 47.7% -0.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -
Efficiency 55.1% 44.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.4% 40.6% -
Log Adjusted 59.4% 40.6% -
Points Off/Def 51.3% 48.7% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +10 (118-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Brunson * 37 11-17 3-7 6-6 5 7 1 0 31 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 35 2-5 0-3 1-2 6 1 1 1 5 - -
Josh Richardson * 35 5-14 3-7 3-4 4 2 0 1 16 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 33 4-15 2-12 3-5 4 4 0 0 13 - -
Dwight Powell * 20 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 4 1 1 4 - -
Maxi Kleber 28 5-8 3-6 3-4 5 1 0 0 16 - -
Trey Burke 17 3-9 0-3 1-1 2 3 1 0 7 - -
James Johnson 12 1-5 0-2 0-1 0 1 2 1 2 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein 11 4-5 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Boban Marjanovic 7 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 6 - -
Josh Green 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Nate Hinton 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tyrell Terry 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 38 14-25 3-9 8-9 6 5 3 0 39 - -
Coby White * 32 7-14 4-9 5-5 7 4 0 0 23 - -
Patrick Williams * 28 3-8 0-1 0-0 5 1 3 2 6 - -
Otto Porter Jr. * 28 4-11 2-6 5-5 7 2 2 0 15 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 22 2-8 0-1 3-5 7 1 1 0 7 - -
Thaddeus Young 28 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Garrett Temple 25 1-6 1-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 - -
Daniel Gafford 19 3-3 0-0 6-6 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Denzel Valentine 15 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 6 - -

* = starter