Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | +0.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -15 (109-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 13-20 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 31 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 25 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 21 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 27 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 21 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Beasley * | 38 | 10-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 30 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver * | 28 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ed Davis * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 23 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jake Layman | 22 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio | 17 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter