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2021-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 47.3% 52.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% - ✗
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 ✗ (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% - ✗
Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 51.6% 48.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 46.8% 53.2% - ✗

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -14 (94-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 32 9-16 3-6 1-3 13 8 1 0 22 - -
Anthony Davis * 32 6-15 0-2 5-6 9 1 3 3 17 - -
Dennis Schroder * 31 4-13 0-4 3-4 1 5 0 0 11 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 30 4-9 3-7 0-0 3 1 0 2 11 - -
Marc Gasol * 23 2-6 0-3 3-4 6 4 1 0 7 - -
Wesley Matthews 27 5-7 4-6 0-0 1 1 2 0 14 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 23 3-9 1-4 0-0 6 2 0 0 7 - -
Montrezl Harrell 20 7-11 0-0 2-2 9 0 2 0 16 - -
Markieff Morris 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Quinn Cook 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jared Dudley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyus Jones * 31 6-11 2-5 0-0 5 3 1 0 14 - -
Kyle Anderson * 31 7-19 1-8 3-3 4 2 0 0 18 - -
Dillon Brooks * 29 3-15 1-6 2-2 5 5 0 1 9 - -
Brandon Clarke * 28 4-10 0-2 0-0 7 0 0 1 8 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 26 7-14 0-1 0-0 10 1 1 0 14 - -
Desmond Bane 21 5-8 3-4 0-1 1 2 1 0 13 - -
Gorgui Dieng 20 2-6 1-2 0-0 7 4 0 0 5 - -
Xavier Tillman 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 6 - -
John Konchar 16 1-3 0-1 2-2 5 4 2 1 4 - -
Grayson Allen 14 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 - -
Sean McDermott 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter