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2021-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 63.6% 36.4% -
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% -
Margin 53.9% 46.1% -0.9 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% -
Log Adjusted 43.6% 56.4% -
Points Off/Def 41.2% 58.8% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +4 (120-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 39 4-14 3-11 5-5 6 8 0 0 16 - -
Fred VanVleet * 39 9-23 4-13 5-5 8 5 1 1 27 - -
OG Anunoby * 36 5-11 2-8 5-6 7 3 0 0 17 - -
Pascal Siakam * 24 4-10 0-4 2-2 4 1 1 0 10 - -
Aron Baynes * 23 4-7 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 8 - -
Chris Boucher 28 7-13 1-4 9-9 5 1 2 1 24 - -
Norman Powell 24 4-10 4-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 12 - -
Stanley Johnson 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Alex Len 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 2 2 - -
Terence Davis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 35 8-17 4-8 11-14 6 4 0 1 31 - -
Lonzo Ball * 35 5-14 3-8 0-0 4 4 0 2 13 - -
Zion Williamson * 32 7-12 0-0 7-10 7 1 0 1 21 - -
Steven Adams * 31 4-7 0-0 5-8 10 1 2 0 13 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 31 5-12 4-6 5-6 5 10 1 1 19 - -
Josh Hart 25 3-8 2-7 1-2 8 2 0 1 9 - -
JJ Redick 21 1-4 0-3 3-3 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Jaxson Hayes 16 1-3 0-0 4-4 8 0 1 0 6 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 6 1-5 1-5 0-0 0 1 1 1 3 - -
Nicolo Melli 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter