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2021-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% -
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% -
Margin 23.4% 76.6% +6.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.5% 62.5% -
Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.0% 78.0% -
Log Adjusted 22.0% 78.0% -
Points Off/Def 26.6% 73.4% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +15 (127-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 38 7-15 2-4 4-4 6 6 4 1 20 - -
Terry Rozier * 33 12-18 7-11 4-4 2 3 1 0 35 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 30 3-7 0-0 3-4 9 5 1 0 9 - -
Devonte' Graham * 29 1-10 1-6 2-2 3 9 1 0 5 - -
P.J. Washington * 21 2-8 1-2 4-4 5 2 2 0 9 - -
LaMelo Ball 30 4-12 1-4 4-6 4 5 4 2 13 - -
Miles Bridges 24 4-11 0-5 0-0 4 2 1 2 8 - -
Caleb Martin 19 3-7 1-3 2-2 5 2 1 0 9 - -
Jalen McDaniels 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 36 6-9 0-0 3-5 12 11 1 1 15 - -
Tobias Harris * 36 9-14 4-7 2-2 9 6 4 3 24 - -
Joel Embiid * 36 7-11 1-2 4-6 14 4 1 1 19 - -
Seth Curry * 34 8-11 3-6 2-2 0 6 1 1 21 - -
Danny Green * 25 4-7 3-6 2-3 2 4 0 0 13 - -
Shake Milton 25 7-13 3-8 1-2 4 1 1 0 18 - -
Tyrese Maxey 17 4-8 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Matisse Thybulle 15 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 1 3 - -
Dwight Howard 11 1-2 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter