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2021-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Orlando Magic Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 55.7% 44.3% - ✓
Margin 65.8% 34.2% -3.6 ✓ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - ✗
Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 44.4% 55.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% - ✗

Actual: Orlando Magic -9 (99-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 34 5-17 2-9 4-5 5 7 0 1 16 - -
Darius Bazley * 32 7-10 2-4 3-3 12 2 0 1 19 - -
Luguentz Dort * 30 2-7 1-4 4-4 4 0 1 1 9 - -
Al Horford * 27 5-12 2-7 0-0 6 4 0 1 12 - -
George Hill * 27 7-12 3-7 1-1 1 5 2 0 18 - -
Mike Muscala 20 2-6 1-4 3-3 6 0 0 0 8 - -
Theo Maledon 19 5-7 1-3 1-1 3 4 1 0 12 - -
Hamidou Diallo 18 5-9 1-1 1-2 8 0 0 0 12 - -
Kenrich Williams 14 0-5 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Markelle Fultz * 34 5-16 1-4 1-2 3 8 1 0 12 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 13-21 4-7 0-0 13 2 0 0 30 - -
Michael Carter-Williams * 31 2-11 0-4 0-0 9 1 0 0 4 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 29 2-11 0-4 1-1 4 1 1 0 5 - -
Aaron Gordon * 27 6-15 1-6 2-3 8 5 0 0 15 - -
Terrence Ross 30 9-21 4-9 4-5 6 2 1 0 26 - -
Gary Clark 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 6 1 3 1 0 - -
Cole Anthony 17 1-7 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Khem Birch 15 2-4 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 1 5 - -

* = starter