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2021-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 26.1% 73.9% -
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% -
Margin 39.1% 60.9% +2.4 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% -
Efficiency 60.8% 39.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% -
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% -
Points Off/Def 50.5% 49.5% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +8 (102-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 38 7-13 2-4 3-5 7 0 1 0 19 - -
Buddy Hield * 37 6-17 5-12 0-0 4 2 1 0 17 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 35 8-19 0-3 7-10 2 4 2 1 23 - -
Richaun Holmes * 33 4-8 0-0 3-3 9 0 0 2 11 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 25 5-13 1-1 1-2 9 2 0 0 12 - -
Cory Joseph 28 3-8 0-2 0-0 6 0 1 0 6 - -
Glenn Robinson III 20 2-7 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 14 0-2 0-2 1-1 7 1 0 1 1 - -
Kyle Guy 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Wall * 37 11-21 2-8 4-6 4 6 3 2 28 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 35 1-4 1-4 2-2 6 1 0 1 5 - -
Christian Wood * 33 7-14 2-7 4-7 15 1 1 4 20 - -
P.J. Tucker * 33 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Eric Gordon * 32 7-18 3-12 4-4 3 4 2 1 21 - -
Sterling Brown 26 4-6 3-5 0-0 6 1 1 0 11 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 20 1-3 0-1 3-4 2 1 2 0 5 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 11 1-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 2 - -
David Nwaba 9 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -

* = starter