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2021-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 41.9% 58.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 30.2% 69.8% - ✗
Margin 17.7% 82.3% +8.5 ✗ (33.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - ✗
Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 47.8% 52.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 43.7% 56.3% - ✗

Actual: Golden State Warriors -25 (98-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Covington * 36 2-8 2-7 2-2 11 2 1 1 8 - -
Damian Lillard * 35 11-21 6-10 6-6 4 8 1 0 34 - -
CJ McCollum * 33 11-21 4-11 2-3 1 4 3 0 28 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 32 3-7 1-2 1-2 8 3 5 0 8 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 17 3-8 1-1 1-4 8 2 1 0 8 - -
Carmelo Anthony 23 5-9 3-4 5-5 5 1 0 1 18 - -
Anfernee Simons 22 3-12 3-8 2-2 6 0 0 0 11 - -
Harry Giles III 13 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 1 3 - -
Enes Kanter 11 1-2 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Rodney Hood 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
CJ Elleby 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Keljin Blevins 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 33 9-20 4-12 4-4 8 5 0 0 26 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 32 5-12 1-3 4-7 4 1 0 2 15 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 28 4-12 0-4 2-3 4 0 0 1 10 - -
James Wiseman * 19 2-8 0-2 4-4 5 0 0 2 8 - -
Draymond Green * 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 0 - -
Kent Bazemore 17 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 17 1-2 0-1 3-3 3 3 0 1 5 - -
Damion Lee 16 0-3 0-3 2-2 7 1 0 0 2 - -
Eric Paschall 16 5-7 0-1 3-3 4 1 0 1 13 - -
Brad Wanamaker 15 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 1 2 - -
Kevon Looney 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 - -
Mychal Mulder 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Poole 3 0-1 0-1 5-5 1 1 1 0 5 - -

* = starter