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2021-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% -
Margin 45.0% 55.0% +1.1 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% -
Efficiency 62.7% 37.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.8% 39.2% -
Log Adjusted 60.9% 39.1% -
Points Off/Def 54.2% 45.8% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -6 (103-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 35 13-26 4-6 4-7 11 5 2 0 34 - -
LeBron James * 35 8-22 3-7 7-7 11 10 2 0 26 - -
Dennis Schroder * 32 6-15 3-5 0-0 4 3 1 1 15 - -
Marc Gasol * 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 8 3 0 2 0 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 17 4-8 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Wesley Matthews 25 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 - -
Kyle Kuzma 23 5-11 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 1 11 - -
Montrezl Harrell 23 2-6 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 0 4 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 14 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 2 5 - -
Markieff Morris 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 36 8-16 3-4 4-5 9 7 0 1 23 - -
Keldon Johnson * 34 7-11 5-9 7-8 10 1 2 1 26 - -
Dejounte Murray * 29 5-13 0-4 2-4 8 1 1 0 12 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 23 4-9 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 8 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 20 0-1 0-0 0-4 5 3 0 0 0 - -
Patty Mills 24 3-7 2-4 2-2 3 4 0 0 10 - -
Rudy Gay 24 6-16 2-8 1-1 3 2 0 1 15 - -
Drew Eubanks 23 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 3 0 - -
Derrick White 22 3-9 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 2 9 - -

* = starter