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2021-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 48.5% 51.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.4% 65.6% -
Margin 28.9% 71.1% +4.9 (25.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% -
Efficiency 27.1% 72.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.4% 73.6% -
Points Off/Def 29.6% 70.4% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +30 (126-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 28 4-13 1-5 3-4 4 3 0 0 12 - -
Zach LaVine * 27 7-16 1-4 1-1 6 2 1 1 16 - -
Patrick Williams * 25 4-11 0-2 0-1 6 0 0 1 8 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 25 5-7 1-2 1-2 5 3 0 1 12 - -
Otto Porter Jr. * 22 3-11 1-3 2-2 4 2 1 0 9 - -
Thaddeus Young 22 2-5 0-2 2-2 1 2 1 2 6 - -
Denzel Valentine 20 5-8 2-3 2-2 5 0 2 0 14 - -
Garrett Temple 19 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 - -
Daniel Gafford 15 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 2 1 5 - -
Adam Mokoka 9 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 - -
Devon Dotson 9 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Luke Kornet 7 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Cristiano Felicio 6 0-1 0-0 0-2 3 2 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 27 9-19 1-5 10-18 12 8 2 2 29 - -
Jrue Holiday * 25 4-9 3-6 0-0 1 4 3 0 11 - -
Khris Middleton * 25 6-10 2-2 0-0 2 6 3 1 14 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 19 4-5 3-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 11 - -
Brook Lopez * 15 3-7 3-6 0-0 3 1 0 1 9 - -
Bobby Portis 25 4-6 2-2 3-4 12 1 0 2 13 - -
Bryn Forbes 22 6-9 4-6 2-2 0 0 1 0 18 - -
D.J. Augustin 18 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -
Pat Connaughton 15 3-5 3-3 2-2 5 1 1 0 11 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 9 2-4 0-1 3-4 3 0 2 0 7 - -
Sam Merrill 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
D.J. Wilson 9 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 - -

* = starter