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2021-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 62.1% 37.9% -
Margin 75.0% 25.0% -6.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% -
Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.5% 37.5% -
Log Adjusted 62.5% 37.5% -
Points Off/Def 54.0% 46.0% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +3 (96-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 38 5-14 3-6 0-3 3 9 3 0 13 - -
Jaylen Brown * 37 12-20 1-7 0-0 9 2 3 2 25 - -
Jayson Tatum * 37 11-24 3-11 3-5 6 2 1 1 28 - -
Tristan Thompson * 25 2-4 0-0 1-2 9 2 1 2 5 - -
Daniel Theis * 23 1-2 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 3 2 - -
Jeff Teague 20 4-5 1-1 3-4 1 3 2 0 12 - -
Grant Williams 19 4-7 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 8 - -
Payton Pritchard 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 2 2 1 0 - -
Robert Williams III 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 - -
Semi Ojeleye 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Carsen Edwards 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 37 9-24 2-9 4-5 4 0 1 0 24 - -
Saddiq Bey * 30 5-11 5-8 2-4 7 1 2 0 17 - -
Mason Plumlee * 29 3-5 0-0 2-4 17 1 2 1 8 - -
Josh Jackson * 26 5-12 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 1 11 - -
Killian Hayes * 23 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 6 0 0 0 - -
Derrick Rose 24 7-12 0-3 3-4 5 4 2 0 17 - -
Delon Wright 21 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Isaiah Stewart 18 3-5 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 0 8 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 17 3-7 3-6 0-0 0 0 1 0 9 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter