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2021-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Utah Jazz Spread Result
Elo 80.5% 19.5% -
Bradley-Terry 56.8% 43.2% -
Margin 56.6% 43.4% -1.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -
Efficiency 36.5% 63.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Log Adjusted 38.2% 61.8% -
Points Off/Def 37.8% 62.2% -

Actual: Utah Jazz -11 (95-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 36 6-9 4-6 0-0 6 0 2 1 16 - -
Jae Crowder * 36 6-11 4-9 0-0 6 1 2 1 16 - -
Devin Booker * 35 10-17 1-2 4-7 3 7 0 1 25 - -
Chris Paul * 29 4-13 2-4 1-1 4 8 0 0 11 - -
Deandre Ayton * 28 2-8 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 2 4 - -
Dario Saric 18 1-7 1-5 2-2 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Cameron Payne 18 4-8 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 10 - -
Cameron Johnson 17 4-4 2-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 10 - -
Jevon Carter 11 4-5 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 9 - -
Langston Galloway 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Frank Kaminsky 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 36 9-23 3-8 2-2 6 3 1 0 23 - -
Mike Conley * 34 5-13 4-8 2-2 5 4 2 0 16 - -
Royce O'Neale * 34 3-6 2-3 0-0 9 1 1 1 8 - -
Rudy Gobert * 34 7-9 0-0 4-8 14 0 1 1 18 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 28 0-5 0-4 3-4 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Joe Ingles 32 2-7 1-5 0-0 1 4 1 0 5 - -
Jordan Clarkson 19 5-11 2-5 0-0 5 2 2 0 12 - -
Derrick Favors 13 4-8 0-0 2-3 5 1 0 1 10 - -
Georges Niang 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter