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2021-01-01

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 35.6% 64.4% -
Bradley-Terry 51.0% 49.0% -
Margin 52.3% 47.7% -0.5 (17.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% -
Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% -
Log Adjusted 54.9% 45.1% -
Points Off/Def 48.5% 51.5% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +17 (100-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Bullock * 38 3-15 0-9 0-0 5 3 1 1 6 - -
Julius Randle * 37 5-12 0-4 6-7 10 5 0 1 16 - -
RJ Barrett * 36 4-19 0-8 4-5 8 3 1 0 12 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 25 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 0 4 - -
Elfrid Payton * 23 7-12 0-2 0-1 3 4 1 0 14 - -
Kevin Knox II 31 5-14 2-8 4-5 6 1 0 0 16 - -
Austin Rivers 21 3-6 1-4 0-0 1 5 1 0 7 - -
Nerlens Noel 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 6 - -
Jared Harper 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Theo Pinson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 36 6-12 4-9 4-6 7 4 2 0 20 - -
Fred VanVleet * 35 9-19 4-9 3-3 5 7 1 1 25 - -
Norman Powell * 34 7-13 2-7 1-1 4 1 2 1 17 - -
OG Anunoby * 34 1-10 0-7 3-4 7 2 1 0 5 - -
Aron Baynes * 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 - -
Chris Boucher 24 3-9 1-4 2-5 9 2 0 1 9 - -
Terence Davis 16 4-7 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 1 10 - -
Stanley Johnson 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 - -
Alex Len 12 3-4 3-3 2-2 2 0 0 1 11 - -
Yuta Watanabe 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 - -
Paul Watson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter