🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 26.1% 73.9% -
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% -
Margin 39.1% 60.9% +2.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% -
Efficiency 60.8% 39.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% -
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% -
Points Off/Def 50.5% 49.5% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +3 (122-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 37 8-14 2-5 6-6 8 1 1 1 24 - -
Buddy Hield * 37 7-18 5-15 0-0 3 5 0 1 19 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 35 9-23 1-7 3-6 5 6 4 1 22 - -
Richaun Holmes * 35 10-13 0-0 2-2 13 2 2 1 22 - -
Marvin Bagley III * 25 1-9 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 1 4 - -
Tyrese Haliburton 26 4-9 2-4 1-2 2 1 2 0 11 - -
Cory Joseph 22 3-6 0-1 3-3 1 5 2 0 9 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 15 3-4 1-1 1-3 5 2 0 0 8 - -
Hassan Whiteside 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 38 10-24 4-11 9-11 6 8 1 1 33 - -
John Wall * 36 8-20 2-8 4-4 6 9 1 1 22 - -
P.J. Tucker * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 2 0 - -
Christian Wood * 31 9-14 0-3 3-4 12 3 1 2 21 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 27 5-6 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 11 - -
Eric Gordon 25 6-12 3-8 2-2 2 0 2 0 17 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 20 2-3 0-0 0-2 6 1 1 0 4 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 13 3-5 1-2 1-2 1 3 0 0 8 - -
Sterling Brown 12 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 6 - -

* = starter