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2020-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 52.2% 47.8% -
Margin 56.5% 43.5% -1.4 (21.4 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% -
Efficiency 19.1% 80.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.7% 77.3% -
Log Adjusted 22.6% 77.4% -
Points Off/Def 27.7% 72.3% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +20 (119-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 38 8-14 5-7 0-0 2 5 0 0 21 - -
Collin Sexton * 36 12-19 2-2 2-2 1 4 1 1 28 - -
Larry Nance Jr. * 35 4-9 1-4 1-2 5 7 2 1 10 - -
Dante Exum * 28 2-5 2-3 1-2 4 0 0 1 7 - -
Andre Drummond * 25 4-11 0-0 3-4 13 4 1 1 11 - -
Cedi Osman 21 1-8 1-5 0-2 3 1 1 0 3 - -
Damyean Dotson 20 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
JaVale McGee 13 3-11 0-1 1-6 13 0 0 1 7 - -
Thon Maker 9 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 6 - -
Dean Wade 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Lamar Stevens 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Marques Bolden 2 0-0 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 36 10-14 2-2 3-3 11 7 0 0 25 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 36 5-13 2-4 5-6 3 5 3 0 17 - -
Victor Oladipo * 34 5-14 4-8 2-2 4 8 2 0 16 - -
Myles Turner * 33 5-9 0-4 4-4 7 2 4 1 14 - -
Aaron Holiday * 22 4-6 3-4 1-2 1 2 1 0 12 - -
Doug McDermott 25 6-13 3-6 3-6 9 0 0 0 18 - -
Justin Holiday 23 3-7 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Kelan Martin 11 0-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
T.J. McConnell 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 - -
Edmond Sumner 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Lecque 1 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Cassius Stanley 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
JaKarr Sampson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter