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2020-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers LA Clippers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 32.0% 68.0% - ✓
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.2 ✓ (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% - ✓
Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 33.6% 66.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 33.6% 66.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.7% 66.3% - ✓

Actual: LA Clippers +23 (128-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Jones Jr. * 34 2-6 1-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 6 - -
Damian Lillard * 29 3-14 0-8 14-15 5 4 1 0 20 - -
CJ McCollum * 28 8-17 7-11 2-2 4 3 1 0 25 - -
Robert Covington * 24 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 8 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 4 - -
Enes Kanter 25 4-9 0-0 2-2 10 0 0 0 10 - -
Carmelo Anthony 25 3-5 0-2 9-10 5 2 0 0 15 - -
Rodney Hood 15 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Anfernee Simons 10 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Harry Giles III 8 3-4 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 1 7 - -
CJ Elleby 8 1-3 0-2 0-1 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Keljin Blevins 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 30 9-17 3-5 7-8 3 7 3 1 28 - -
Paul George * 28 8-15 4-9 3-4 10 7 2 0 23 - -
Nicolas Batum * 26 4-6 2-2 1-2 5 3 1 0 11 - -
Serge Ibaka * 23 4-11 3-5 0-0 8 3 1 1 11 - -
Patrick Beverley * 20 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 7 - -
Reggie Jackson 21 4-6 2-4 1-3 1 2 0 0 11 - -
Lou Williams 20 7-13 1-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 15 - -
Luke Kennard 18 2-5 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Ivica Zubac 15 2-2 0-0 3-4 2 2 2 3 7 - -
Patrick Patterson 10 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Terance Mann 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Mfiondu Kabengele 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 1 0 - -
Amir Coffey 5 2-4 1-2 1-1 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Daniel Oturu 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter