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2020-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% - ✗
Margin 45.0% 55.0% +1.1 ✗ (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% - ✓
Efficiency 62.7% 37.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 60.8% 39.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 60.9% 39.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.2% 45.8% - ✓

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -14 (107-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 35 11-23 1-3 3-5 5 8 1 1 26 - -
Dennis Schroder * 33 9-15 3-5 0-0 4 4 1 0 21 - -
Anthony Davis * 31 9-15 0-2 2-2 8 3 0 2 20 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 26 3-5 2-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 10 - -
Marc Gasol * 20 2-2 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 0 5 - -
Kyle Kuzma 24 2-7 1-4 1-2 6 4 1 0 6 - -
Montrezl Harrell 23 2-5 0-0 6-8 9 1 0 0 10 - -
Wesley Matthews 22 6-6 6-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 18 - -
Markieff Morris 19 1-3 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 - -
Quinn Cook 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Jared Dudley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 36 7-12 1-1 8-10 5 6 1 1 23 - -
Dejounte Murray * 34 12-19 2-3 3-3 7 7 1 0 29 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 32 4-12 1-4 2-4 4 3 1 0 11 - -
Keldon Johnson * 24 3-9 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 7 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 24 4-5 0-0 0-2 7 1 1 0 8 - -
Rudy Gay 25 3-10 2-7 0-0 3 1 1 1 8 - -
Drew Eubanks 23 2-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 4 - -
Patty Mills 22 3-7 2-5 4-4 3 4 2 0 12 - -
Devin Vassell 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Luka Samanic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tre Jones 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter