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2020-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 27.2% 72.8% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.1 (26.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 33.8% 66.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% -
Log Adjusted 30.4% 69.6% -
Points Off/Def 32.7% 67.3% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -19 (99-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 30 4-16 1-6 2-2 7 3 1 0 11 - -
Terry Rozier * 30 8-17 2-7 0-0 5 3 0 1 18 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 29 3-6 0-0 3-5 6 4 0 1 9 - -
Devonte' Graham * 29 3-8 2-5 1-1 0 5 2 0 9 - -
P.J. Washington * 17 4-6 1-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 11 - -
Miles Bridges 29 6-9 4-6 4-4 16 2 0 2 20 - -
LaMelo Ball 29 7-10 4-5 4-4 8 5 1 1 22 - -
Jalen McDaniels 16 4-5 1-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Caleb Martin 14 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 4 1 0 4 - -
Cody Martin 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 - -
Vernon Carey Jr. 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Nick Richards 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 27 7-10 3-6 1-1 2 1 1 0 18 - -
Josh Richardson * 26 1-10 0-4 2-2 2 2 0 1 4 - -
Dwight Powell * 24 2-6 0-1 5-7 4 2 1 1 9 - -
Luka Doncic * 24 4-10 0-5 4-7 2 5 2 0 12 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 24 2-8 1-6 0-0 6 0 1 1 5 - -
Jalen Brunson 20 5-13 2-5 4-6 4 4 1 0 16 - -
Maxi Kleber 20 4-5 4-5 0-0 6 1 0 2 12 - -
James Johnson 19 3-8 0-2 1-3 6 4 2 1 7 - -
Trey Burke 19 1-9 1-6 0-0 1 4 2 0 3 - -
Josh Green 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein 9 2-2 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Tyrell Terry 3 0-1 0-1 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Wes Iwundu 3 2-3 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Boban Marjanovic 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter