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2020-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 13.8% 86.2% -
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% -
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.8% 49.2% -
Log Adjusted 50.8% 49.2% -
Points Off/Def 45.0% 55.0% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +19 (126-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Anderson * 28 3-11 0-4 3-4 4 9 0 1 9 - -
Dillon Brooks * 27 6-18 2-9 2-2 5 2 1 0 16 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 24 7-11 1-1 5-7 11 1 0 0 20 - -
Tyus Jones * 22 3-7 0-2 0-0 2 2 2 1 6 - -
Grayson Allen * 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Desmond Bane 31 6-11 3-6 1-1 4 0 2 0 16 - -
Brandon Clarke 25 4-13 0-2 2-6 7 1 1 1 10 - -
Gorgui Dieng 23 6-10 2-5 3-3 6 2 1 0 17 - -
John Konchar 22 4-7 1-1 0-0 3 5 1 0 9 - -
Sean McDermott 21 1-4 0-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 4 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 28 15-21 7-10 5-6 5 4 1 0 42 - -
Marcus Smart * 26 5-11 4-9 0-0 2 4 3 1 14 - -
Jayson Tatum * 23 6-12 3-5 1-1 4 3 1 0 16 - -
Jeff Teague * 21 2-6 0-2 0-0 5 4 4 0 4 - -
Daniel Theis * 19 5-7 0-1 2-3 5 2 1 2 12 - -
Robert Williams III 22 3-4 0-0 0-0 10 2 1 4 6 - -
Payton Pritchard 21 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 8 - -
Grant Williams 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 - -
Aaron Nesmith 19 2-7 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 1 5 - -
Semi Ojeleye 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Carsen Edwards 12 4-8 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 9 - -
Tremont Waters 6 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 2 2 0 4 - -
Tacko Fall 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 2 2 - -

* = starter