Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.5% | 32.5% | -4.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +10 (125-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 40 | 12-18 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 25 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 38 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 37 | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 36 | 10-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Will Barton | 21 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 16 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Bol Bol | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Markus Howard | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 35 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 24 | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 33 | 5-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 32 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 23 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton | 24 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 20 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter