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2020-12-30

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 12.0% 88.0% -
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% -
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% -
Efficiency 28.2% 71.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.3% 71.7% -
Log Adjusted 28.3% 71.7% -
Points Off/Def 30.7% 69.3% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +25 (111-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 28 6-11 1-5 0-0 6 6 1 0 13 - -
Zion Williamson * 28 9-13 0-0 2-6 2 0 1 0 20 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 24 3-5 0-2 1-1 0 2 1 0 7 - -
Lonzo Ball * 23 3-12 1-7 0-0 0 1 0 0 7 - -
Steven Adams * 23 5-5 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 1 11 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 21 4-10 0-1 3-3 0 4 1 0 11 - -
Josh Hart 21 1-2 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 0 3 - -
JJ Redick 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Nicolo Melli 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 8 1 0 0 5 - -
Jaxson Hayes 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 0 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 9 2-7 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 - -
Sindarius Thornwell 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Willy Hernangomez 7 0-1 0-0 1-4 4 1 0 0 1 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 30 4-7 1-2 4-4 7 0 2 0 13 - -
Deandre Ayton * 26 6-11 0-0 1-1 12 0 0 1 13 - -
Devin Booker * 25 3-9 2-7 0-0 6 3 2 0 8 - -
Chris Paul * 23 2-4 1-2 4-4 2 9 0 0 9 - -
Jae Crowder * 20 6-11 5-8 4-4 2 1 1 0 21 - -
Cameron Payne 23 5-9 3-6 0-0 2 7 0 0 13 - -
Cameron Johnson 22 6-13 4-10 2-2 2 0 1 2 18 - -
Jevon Carter 18 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Dario Saric 14 3-4 2-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 10 - -
Langston Galloway 11 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Frank Kaminsky 7 1-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Damian Jones 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
E'Twaun Moore 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ty-Shon Alexander 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter