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2020-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 40.2% 59.8% -
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% -
Margin 36.5% 63.5% +3.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 24.6% 75.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% -
Log Adjusted 27.5% 72.5% -
Points Off/Def 30.2% 69.8% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +7 (100-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 37 6-15 3-8 9-9 8 9 1 0 24 - -
OG Anunoby * 36 7-11 4-7 2-2 6 2 5 1 20 - -
Fred VanVleet * 36 3-12 2-8 0-0 6 6 1 2 8 - -
Pascal Siakam * 34 8-23 4-9 0-0 6 0 2 1 20 - -
Aron Baynes * 22 1-8 0-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 - -
Stanley Johnson 21 3-7 1-3 0-0 8 0 2 1 7 - -
Alex Len 21 1-1 0-0 0-2 5 2 0 1 2 - -
Norman Powell 17 2-7 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 1 6 - -
Matt Thomas 7 1-3 1-2 1-1 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Chris Boucher 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 37 11-20 2-5 2-2 11 3 2 2 26 - -
Joel Embiid * 37 7-17 1-6 14-16 16 4 2 2 29 - -
Ben Simmons * 36 3-11 0-0 5-8 13 7 1 1 11 - -
Seth Curry * 32 5-11 3-6 4-4 6 4 1 1 17 - -
Danny Green * 28 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 0 2 2 7 - -
Shake Milton 25 2-10 1-6 2-2 1 2 2 0 7 - -
Matisse Thybulle 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Mike Scott 10 1-3 0-2 1-1 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Dwight Howard 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -
Tyrese Maxey 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter