Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.5% | 27.5% | -5.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -5 (111-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 40 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 5-10 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 31 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 8-10 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 19 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 34 | 7-15 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo * | 34 | 10-18 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 31 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 25 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter