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2020-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 58.8% 41.2% - ✓
Margin 66.7% 33.3% -3.8 ✓ (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% - ✓
Efficiency 65.3% 34.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 63.8% 36.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 54.8% 45.2% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons -10 (106-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 38 9-19 5-8 4-4 7 3 1 3 27 - -
Stephen Curry * 34 9-17 5-9 8-8 5 6 2 0 31 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 29 6-10 1-4 1-3 5 0 2 2 14 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 23 2-2 1-1 0-2 3 4 1 0 5 - -
James Wiseman * 21 3-9 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 2 6 - -
Kevon Looney 21 0-2 0-1 2-2 5 4 1 0 2 - -
Damion Lee 18 3-6 2-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 8 - -
Brad Wanamaker 17 2-5 0-2 5-7 2 2 0 1 9 - -
Eric Paschall 13 3-4 0-0 4-6 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Mychal Mulder 10 0-1 0-1 2-4 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Poole 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 37 9-21 3-9 6-7 7 1 3 2 27 - -
Josh Jackson * 29 6-14 0-5 5-8 6 3 1 1 17 - -
Mason Plumlee * 24 0-5 0-1 2-4 10 2 0 1 2 - -
Blake Griffin * 16 2-3 2-2 2-2 5 3 1 0 8 - -
Killian Hayes * 16 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Delon Wright 28 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 5 - -
Derrick Rose 26 6-18 1-4 2-2 2 7 2 0 15 - -
Isaiah Stewart 23 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 6 - -
Saddiq Bey 15 3-9 3-5 2-2 3 0 0 0 11 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 11 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 10 2-4 1-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 9 - -

* = starter